Rishabh Nahar, Fund Manager at Qode Advisors, manages ₹600-700 crore and has delivered a 31% annualised return since November 2024-a period where Nifty was flat to negative. In this episode, Rishabh breaks down exactly how quant investing works, why 68% of active fund managers fail to beat the benchmark over 10 years, and how a simple rules-based system using quality, valuation, and momentum filters generated a ~29% CAGR over a decade. He also builds a live quant model on screen, explains the Fed's money printing cycles and why sitting on cash is a terrible idea, reveals why gold in INR terms has crushed gold in USD terms, and shares what he learned from Jim Simons and Ed Thorp-the legends who hacked casinos before conquering Wall Street.
What You'll Learn:
1. How a simple quant model using just 3-4 filters (quality, valuation, momentum) delivered ~29% CAGR over 10 years-and why you don't need to be a coder to do it.
2. The Valuation Spread Indicator (VSI) that told Rishabh to avoid small caps in 2024- and why 73% of listed companies were overvalued at the peak.
3. Why gold in INR gives 452% returns vs 239% in USD over the same period-and how currency depreciation is silently building (or destroying) your wealth.
4. The US debt crisis explained: $39 trillion in debt, $11 trillion to refinance, and why the next round of money printing could dwarf 2020.
5. Jim Simons' 66% CAGR secret: hire PhD physicists, not finance graduates-and Ed Thorp's shoe-mounted roulette device that changed investing forever.
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